A tropical depression moving from the western Caribbean toward southeastern Mexico has become Tropical Depression Two. The system will unleash torrential rainfall and the potential for flooding and mudslides in the region. There is a chance the system becomes Tropical Storm Barry before reaching mainland Mexico at midweek. Tropical downpours from northern Nicaragua and northern Honduras and Belize to southeastern Mexico can easily produce several inches of rain in a short amount of time. Two-day rainfall, as of Monday morning, in Honduras includes 5.64 inches in La Ceiba and 4.26 inches in Trujillo.
Proximity to land (less than 60 miles) is expected to limit much development before it reaches Belize Monday afternoon. However, plenty of warm water on either side of the peninsula is available to the system and may sustain it somewhat after making landfall.
This enhanced satellite image shows Tropical Depression Two approaching Belize as of Monday midday, June 17, 2013.
The system is forecast return to warm water Tuesday into Wednesday, as it drifts over part of the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. As a result, the potential for development will increase, prior to a second landfall over the Mexico mainland.
The second name on the list of tropical storms in the Atlantic Basin for 2013 is Barry. Beyond Wednesday, most tropical rains should move inland (westward) over Mexico. There is a chance that some of the moisture from the system is funneled into part of south and west Texas late in the week well after the second landfall.
Antigua Guatemala – Lake Atitlan
Daytime: Thunderstorms big menu item today. Some of these cloud busters could contain very heavy rain, likely in the afternoon. High 79F. Winds NNE
at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain is big at 80%. Rain may top a solid inch. Flooding is a possibility in some lower areas.
Nighttime: Showers and thunderstorms make up the bill of fare today. In fact, heavy rain is a distinct possibility, trending in the evening. Low 63F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain continues big time at 80%. A wet 2 inches is anticipated. Mudslides possible in parts of the surrounding western highlands.
Flores Guatemala – If you’re going to Tikal
Guatemala to see awesome Maya ruins.
Daytime: Thunderstorms is the watchword today. Expect very heavy rain in some local areas, notably in the afternoon. High 84F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 1 to 2 inches of rain is predicted. More flooding anticipated.
Nighttime: Showers and thunderstorms loom large; we’re talking real buckets with rainfall expected to peak in the evening. Low 71F. Winds light and variable. Rain is no roulette with chances set at 90%. Rainfall over 2 inches can be expected. Areas that normally are given to floods are on alert.
Livingston Guatemala – If you’re after a Caribbean experience in Guatemala.
Daytime: Thunderstorms are your new best friends here, with some really heavy rain in the afternoon. High 84F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. 1 to 2 inches of rain is on the horizon. Flooding is possible in low lying areas.
Nighttime: Showers and thunderstorms continue, with a heavy bucket brigade cascading down, especially in the evening. Low 74F offset with light and variable winds. Chance of rain, well, we’ll say it’s 90%, but really it’s a sure thing. More than 2 inches of precipitation in the offing. Flooding is possible in low lying areas.
Monterrico Guatemala – If you’ve got a thing for Pacific beaches that are pristine and hot, hot,hot year-round.
Daytime: A high of 93F will feel like 106F. Mostly cloudy with a complement of showers and a visit from a thunderstorm; turning cooler later in the day.
Nighttime: 73F for a low in the night. While you sleep it will be almost entirely cloudy with a couple of light rains and another thunderstorm